13 January
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Mais Non! France’s "Free" Cell Phone Service Will (Likely) Never Work In The U.S.

This week saw the launch of what could be seen as a revolutionary cell phone service in France. Contingent on a couple of rules, Free.fr is offering an all-but-free cell phone service that promises truly unlimited data, voice, and SMS monthly tariffs. At the very least, the disruptive innovation is seen likely to kick off a price war with existing carriers, which is good for consumers. But recent news developments suggest Americans shouldn’t hold their breath for the same sort of innovation any time soon–the existing carriers would strangle it.

Free.fr is an established broadband provider in France, but it’s got expansionist plans that leverage its network to produce a wholly new service: Cell phone connectivity. Founder Xavier Niel, as GigaOm notes, has been working on the plan for a while, starting with a flat-rate broadband service with IPTV and free wired phone calls on the top of its core data system (essentially because all these things strapped onto a notional “Internet service” are all but identical sorts of digital data). Free.fr was largely seeing its services as a clever vanilla data pipe into user’s homes, with additions like TV as a deal-maker for its millions of subscribers.

Niel applied for some mobile phone spectrum during a process back in 2007, and has now rolled out Free.fr’s newest and most disruptive offering. By using the install-base’s home routers, which are both Wi-fi hubs and set-top boxes for each subscriber household and free-access wireless hubs for nearby roaming users (similar to Fon’s model, or other systems in other countries like Portugal’s Zon boxes), and by issuing new boxes which are also cell network femtocells, Free has a wireless network that has potentially very broad coverage and an impressive flexibility and redundancy: Data is routed over Wi-fi for preference, but then the femtocells are also present for improved accessibility. The complex, layered system lets Free offer, for an impressively low fee of €20 ($26) a month (less if you’re a Free subscriber), free phone calls to tens of countries and both unlimited mobile data access and SMS sending. And it’s “sans engagement”–without contract.

There are plenty of potential blockages ahead on Free.fr’s roadmap to success, and some are even questioning how on Earth it’ll wrangle a profit out of its offers. But it’s so very clever and devastatingly cheap, it’s bound to push bigger established cell phone carriers like Vodafone to compete on at least some sort of pricing or facilities-offered basis. And that’s great for French cell phone users.

If you’re a U.S. cell phone subscriber you may have to pick yourself off the floor at this point. In an environment where U.S. providers (apparently with Sprint as a bit of a stand-out exception) are reneging on promises to unlimited mobile data, where SMS fees are still a wicked add-on to everyone’s monthly bill–just as the U.S. is going text-crazy–and even giants like Verizon try to nickel-and-dime every customer, Free’s model is contrarian. Could a model like Free’s ever work in the U.S.? Technologically it’s entirely possible, although coverage may be an issue in some of the more so-called “remote” regions of the U.S. where even broadband penetration is weak. But it seems unlikely. Not least because of recent revelations about Google’s and Apple’s plans to totally disrupt the cell phone industry.

For example: Steve Jobs, in the early days of the iPhone project, imagined that Apple could blanket the U.S. with a cell phone network all of Apple’s own. It would’ve been Wi-Fi based rather than GSM or CDMA (recognize that from Free.fr’s model?), and Jobs tried for three years to negotiate, bully, and finagle it into existence. It failed. Instead Apple forced AT&T to accept some very unusual terms as part of its exclusive deal–like zero AT&T branding on the Phone, and no modifications of the OS…and then rolled these terms out across the world to challenge accepted carrier practices. It’s not as revolutionary as a carrier-obsoleting wireless grid, but it’s a start, and Apple’s been trying similar apple cart-upsetting plans since.

Google too, it’s now known, had planned for its original own-brand Nexus phone, sold via its own carrier-independent online store–to be a super-cheap disruptive device, perhaps even offering zero costs for the device and some of its uses thanks to deeply-embedded social-informed advertising. Would you accept frequent ads in your cell phone experience in exchange for a zero-fee, or at least dramatically smaller, monthly bill? Our money is on about 50% of the public saying yes to that. But reports suggest that Google’s efforts were stymied in no small amount by the cell phone carriers themselves, reluctant to cede any sort of variation on their business model.

Since then Google has seemed to play along with the carriers much more than you’d perhaps expect for an open OS, and has caused recent headlines like “Why I hate Android” due to the seemingly broken promise of the supposedly unrestrained OS from a company who’s motto is “Don’t be evil”–no matter how awkwardly Google tries to defend it.

Are the carriers really that wicked? You may be tempted to think so when you consider that Verizon is blocking Google’s Wallet on its version of compatible Android phones, citing security issues–but really it’s because it’s in a consortium to promote a different model for the future of digital payment (a revolution that could actually change your life more then you think). More grist to this mill comes from fresh revelations from Motorola’s CEO Sanjay Jha, who this week noted, “Verizon and AT&T don’t want seven stock Ice Cream Sandwich devices on their shelves … The vast majority of the changes we make to the OS are to meet the requirements that carriers have.” In other words, rather than supporting a stock, uniform edition of Android–which would enable much better cross-platform compatibility, better apps and a more consistent high-quality user experience–the carriers are forcing makers to tweak and customize Android to suit their (not necessarily technical-minded or user experience-forward) agendas, which explains all those own-brand carrier apps that smatter your home page.

Nokia, desperate to make a comeback into the smartphone world with its partnership with Microsoft, is also promising unique phones to each of the U.S. carriers it’s doing business with. Is that a good thing? You may argue yes, because it means the phones could be tailored to the special sweetner offerings of each carrier, tricks like a music service, app store, or what not. But if you take a broader view, this is rather odd. Nokia and Microsoft are spending countless millions to hone, refine, and polish their phones–from both a hardware and software point of view, because it’s the synergy and user experience that’s important as Apple’s proved and as Microsoft has agreed with–and they’re about to let a mere datapipeline operator dictate how some of that will work.

If one of the biggest companies in the world, Apple, and the global giant of search engine tech and owner of the most-prevalent smartphone OS, Google, can’t break the stranglehold of the U.S. cell phone carriers on the market, let alone chip away at their armor-clad business models, then you’re allowed to sadly consider that it’s unlikely that a model ilke Free.fr’s would ever manage to shake up the U.S. industry in the near term.

Image: Flickr user greyloch

Chat about this news with Kit Eaton on Twitter and Fast Company too.

Via Fast Company: http://www.fastcompany.com

30 July
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Why the Future of Transportation Is All About Real-Time Data

The Global Innovation Series is supported by BMW i, a new concept dedicated to providing mobility solutions for the urban environment. It delivers more than purpose-built electric vehicles — it delivers smart mobility services. Visit bmw-i.com or follow @BMWi on Twitter.

In order to tackle urban transportation challenges in cities around the world, the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and the National Research Foundation of Singapore launched a five-year cooperative project in 2009 — Future Urban Mobility (FM) — to look at new models and technology tools aimed at sustainability. The FM team is one of four interdisciplinary research groups that are part of the Singapore-MIT Alliance for Research and Technology Centre, or SMART Centre. FM is developing SimMobility, a simulation platform where researchers explore transportation, environmental impacts, energy and land use and the activities of individual travelers in the mix.

Some of the projects of FM include autonomous driving — as in, cars that drive themselves — and simultaneous research is being done in the areas of vehicle-to-vehicle communication and vehicle-to-infrastructure communication. Vehicle-to-vehicle communication looks at applications for both safety and information retrieval.

Applications are being developed so your car will get information about the location and intentions of vehicles in your vicinity, contributing to the process of autonomous driving. Vehicle-to-infrastructure projects are less safety-related and more focused on traffic operations, including the possibility of your car receiving information from traffic signals regarding data like when an upcoming stoplight will turn green. With this data, you can adjust your speed and slow down without having to stop at the signal, thus reducing stop-and-go traffic movement.


Mobility On Demand


Another area of the FM project is mobility on demand. A bike-sharing services is an example of mobility on demand: You get the mobility you need, when you need it, at the place you need it, and you can take it to your destination and drop it off without having to return it to the pickup location. At this time, car-sharing services like Zipcar are not considered mobility on demand because you have to return the car at the same location you obtained it. One solution investigated in 2007 to address the issue of space for car-sharing stations was CityCar, led by the late MIT professor William J. Mitchell. The mobility on demand project is exploring additional solutions.

“Today’s phones have more computing power — in number of transistors — than supercomputers of 50 years ago. Yet, we don’t use it much beyond individual computing,” explains Li-Shiuan Peh, associate professor of electrical engineering at MIT. “Phones have to access all web services through the Internet as they are computed on servers. My group is exploring ways to better harness the immense computer power of phones, networking a collection of phones together to run and drive novel services.”

A recent application Peh’s team developed and prototyped consists of phones mounted on car windshields with no Internet and no servers — just phones talking to each other. SignalGuru is an iPhone app service that lets users know when traffic lights will turn red or green so they can avoid stop-and-go driving and save on gasoline. They deployed the service at MIT and in Singapore and saw a one- to two-second accuracy in predictions and a 30% savings in gas.


LIVE Singapore


The LIVE Singapore! project is “a convergence of art, digital media and information technology” that gives citizens access to visualizations of data from multiple digital streams from the city. The public exhibition of this project opened at the Singapore Art Museum (SAM) and consisted of five large-scale projections of multi-dimensional maps of the city showing the movements of people, vehicles including planes and automobiles, electricity consumption and other elements.

“Employing real-time data recorded and captured by a vast system of communication devices, microcontrollers and sensors commonly found in our urban environment and mapping this information onto multi-dimensional maps of Singapore, we have been able to merge cartography, statistical analysis and data platform technology,” says Carlo Ratti, director of the MIT SENSEable City Lab. “This suggests new ways to view, understand and ultimately navigate our city like never before.”


DynaMIT


The DynaMIT project is a computer system that predicts the future of traffic and transportation conditions and provides the information in real-time to travelers and traffic managers. DynaMIT, led by Moshe Ben-Akiva, professor of civil and environmental engineering at MIT, stands for “Dynamic Network Assignment for Managing Information to Traveler.” Ben-Akiva and his research group at the MIT Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) recently received the The Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) ITS Outstanding Applications Award in 2011.

So what does it do? DynaMIT provides short-term predictions of congestion in a specific traffic network and then attempts to anticipate congestion before it occurs. DynaMIT uses a mash-up of real-time and historical traffic data for a given area and operates on a continuous basis to not only analyze real-time information, such as from traffic sensors, but add a behavioral model to show the potential impacts of human reaction to the data received (i.e. gaper’s block). The output offers a prediction for a “short horizon” and essentially simulates a network of transportation for an hour into the future every five minutes, completing each simulation in about a minute. The simulations are run faster than real-time using both parallel and distributed computing. The system utilizes “network decomposition” — a traffic network is divided into sub-networks that are then simulated on multiple processors. This kind of work couldn’t be done without modern computer methods.

“DynaMIT allows us to look into the future and see what the travel times, speeds and bottlenecks will be in the next hour,” explains Ben-Akiva. “If we develop and broadcast information about future traffic conditions, it will affect the behavior and as a result, will affect what will happen in the future and invalidate the prediction unless we take that in account.”

Right now, Ben-Akiva’s team is working on DynaMIT 2.0 to re-engineer the system for new data that might become available to incorporate into their system, including navigation systems and travelers equipped with smartphones.

DynaMIT has been tested in a variety of locations including Los Angeles (but not in relation to the recent “Carmageddon”) and Irvine, California, Beijing and Singapore. How well does DynaMIT predict?

Says Ben-Akiva, “We’re testing it right now in Lisbon, Portugal, and it predicts very well. It has a unique advantage over other prediction methods in that it can be used to predict how a network will behave under situations where there is an event affecting demand or supply of transportation, whether it’s a planned event or unplanned event.”

Ben-Akiva explains that a “planned event” might be roadwork, in which case capacity is taken away because a lane is closed or road blocked. An “unplanned event” might be an accident or flooding or another occurrence that causes a reduction in capacity. There could also be events that increase demand, such as a sporting event. In all of these situations, historical data is hindered because there is an unusual or unexpected change in either demand or supply, and that is exactly where DynaMIT excels.

“We did a test of unusual situations or unplanned events in Portugal and demonstrated that the system of DynaMIT has a significant advantage over data-mining, artificial intelligence or statistical methods that essentially combine historical with real time data to extrapolate it into the future,” says Ben-Akiva.

Where do we go from here? In the future, car manufacturers will be installing more and more electronics in our vehicles. Soon, there will be equipment that allows vehicles to communicate with some sort of traffic information hub to provide information in real-time about the locations and the speed of travel and much more, as well as receive information that can be applied by the vehicle and the traveler. And when will we have cars that “drive themselves?” Soon, say the experts — soon.


Series Supported by BMW i


The Global Innovation Series is supported by BMW i, a new concept dedicated to providing mobility solutions for the urban environment. It delivers more than purpose-built electric vehicles; it delivers smart mobility services within and beyond the car. Visit bmw-i.com or follow @BMWi on Twitter.

Are you an innovative entrepreneur? Submit your pitch to BMW i Ventures, a mobility and tech venture capital company.

Image courtesy of LIVE Singapore!, MIT

Via Mashable: http://www.mashable.com

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